The subject of the forecast here is the demand for transport on a short section of LRT linking the CBD to the Waterfront, so there is something of a difference between this and forecasting general urban transport demand based on wide-area urban transport networks.
In this type of forecasting, because the usable trip sources are limited to a confined area, it is considered appropriate to categorize originating trip attributes, seek the potential of trips belonging to each category (market segments), and obtain a grasp of the number of LRT users per category. This is the same methodology as that adopted in previous research cases.
Based on this, it was decided to adopt the forecasting methodology indicated in Figure 5-6.
